PAOK – Brann Preview – Who arrives in the better shape?
PAOK vs Brann betting tips this week carry an odd subplot: both sides are here because their original route through Europe fell apart. PAOK dropped into the Conference League play-off after losing their Europa League tie to Anderlecht, while Brann only survived to this stage by clawing back from a first-leg deficit against Apollon Limassol and needing extra time to finish the job. The first leg kicks off at Toumba Stadium in Thessaloniki on Thursday 20 August at 17:45 GMT, and picking a clear favourite for it is not straightforward.
PAOK’s exit from the Europa League stings the more you look at it. Our preview of that Anderlecht tie flagged the away leg as winnable, and PAOK very nearly managed it, only for a shaky night in front of their own fans to let Anderlecht back into the contest. That kind of defensive lapse under a full stadium is exactly what a play-off round punishes.
Brann’s route here was rockier still. They trailed after the first leg against Apollon Limassol before turning it around away from home in extra time, the sort of gutsy escape (which our coverage of that second leg got into in more depth) that builds belief in a squad even as it exposes gaps at the back. Neither team is walking into this with a settled look.
Injuries have hit both dressing rooms hard. PAOK are without Marios Camara through an ankle problem and will also be missing Konstantinos Despodov, a real blow to their attacking width. Brann’s absentee list runs longer still, with Joachim Soltvedt, Jonas Torsvik, Sakarias Opsahl and Markus Haaland all out. That is a lot of quality missing on both sides for a tie that decides who reaches the league phase.
PAOK – Brann Betting Tips
Betting Tip: Both teams to score
Both sides have shown they can be got at defensively on this run. PAOK’s home leg against Anderlecht turned into an open, end-to-end contest rather than a backs-to-the-wall shutout, and Brann only survived their tie by winning a helter-skelter extra-time shootout of their own. Add in the players missing from both back lines and both teams to score looks a more honest read of this one than backing either side to keep things tight.
Betting Tip: Double chance PAOK or draw
PAOK are hosting the first leg in front of a Toumba crowd with a reputation for making life uncomfortable for visitors, and home advantage in a tie like this tends to count for something. Even without Camara and Despodov, PAOK should have enough control of the game to avoid defeat, which makes double chance: PAOK or draw the sensible way in. Worth checking the latest match odds before kickoff, since markets around a game this open can shift.
Betting Tip: Giakoumakis to score anytime
Georgios Giakoumakis remains PAOK’s most reliable route to goal, and the bulk of his output this season has come on the European stage rather than domestically. With Despodov missing from the final third, expect PAOK to lean on Giakoumakis even more to make something happen up top, and Giakoumakis to score anytime backs the player most likely to find the net for the home side.
What to expect under the Toumba lights
This has the shape of a balanced, cagey-but-open first leg rather than a stroll for either club. Both sides arrive with fresh scars, missing faces at both ends of the pitch, and neither has the settled look of a team cruising through the rounds. That mix tends to produce goals and a scoreline that leaves the tie finely poised heading to the second leg.
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