Minnesota Timberwolves – Chicago Bulls Preview – Can the Bulls back up their first win in weeks?
Our Minnesota Timberwolves vs Chicago Bulls betting tips start with a simple scheduling fact: one team has rested and the other has not. The Timberwolves last played on 12 November, when they beat the Dallas Mavericks 133-94, and they have not had a game since. The Chicago Bulls played the Atlanta Hawks the night before this one and needed overtime to win 125-117.
That win mattered to Chicago. It snapped an eight-game losing streak, only the second victory of their season, and Norman Powell scored 33 with nine of those in the extra period. It was also their first game without Caleb Wilson. Now they travel on the second night of a back-to-back, with their legs spent from five extra minutes.
Minnesota are nine wins and three defeats and have won five in a row, all of them by at least four points and most of them comfortably. Anthony Edwards is listed as out with a knee problem, which is the one reason the market is not even more lopsided. Check the official injury report before tip-off, because the status comes from an unofficial list. Even so, the Wolves are firm favourites here, and the spread is big for a reason.
Tip-off is at 01:00 GMT on Sunday 15 November (8:00 pm ET on Saturday 14 November). For most of you that is a late-night game, so it suits a bet placed early and left alone.
Minnesota Timberwolves – Chicago Bulls Betting Tips
Betting Tip: Minnesota Timberwolves (-13.5)
A spread this wide asks a lot, so the case has to be more than “they are better”. It is more than that. Minnesota have been winning without strain: the Dallas game was a 39-point rout and the Utah game was a 15-point win.
Chicago, by contrast, have lost heavily on the road recently, 135-105 at the New York Knicks among them, and now play on tired legs. The Wolves need a win by fourteen or more, and overtime counts.
A rested home side against a team that played five extra minutes the night before is the kind of spot where a game stretches open in the fourth quarter. Edwards’ absence is a risk, but Minnesota have shown depth, with Bones Hyland scoring 24 off the bench against Dallas.
Betting Tip: Chicago Bulls Total points: Under 110.5
This one sounds odd next to a big Minnesota win, but it fits the same story. If the Bulls are tired and outmatched, their own scoring is what dries up. Minnesota held three of their last five opponents to 100 points or fewer, and the other two got 107 and 109. Chicago’s offence ran through Powell in that overtime win. A team on the second night of a back-to-back, facing a set defence at home, tends to settle for early shots and pay for it late.
Under 110.5 for Chicago also holds if the game gets out of hand and the Bulls empty their bench. Again, overtime counts, so it is the one risk.
Betting Tip: Minnesota Timberwolves Total points: Over 125.5
The two totals above are one read of the game: Minnesota score freely while Chicago are held. The Bulls have allowed 117 points or more in each of their last five games, including 135 at the Knicks and 127 to the Philadelphia 76ers. Minnesota scored 133 against Dallas last time out and have the pace to run on a defence that has not been stopping anyone.
Without Edwards the Wolves lose a scorer, but this is a number built on Chicago’s defence more than on any one Minnesota player. Find the latest NBA odds on the sportsbook and place the bets there.
What to expect
Look at how the Bulls’ games have gone. Before Atlanta they lost four straight, and even the home defeat to the San Antonio Spurs came after they had led by 22 points. They can score in bursts, but they cannot hold a lead, and that matters more against a team with a rested rotation. Our look at the Timberwolves’ win over Dallas covers how comfortably Minnesota’s recent games have been won, and their earlier road win in New Orleans shows they can also win the tighter ones.
My call is a comfortable Minnesota win, with Chicago somewhere around the low hundreds and the Wolves comfortably above their own team total. The spread is the best bet, the Bulls under the second, and the Wolves over the third. Check the injury report before tip-off for Edwards, Joan Beringer and the Bulls’ questionable players, because a late change could move the read.
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