Oklahoma City Thunder – Washington Wizards Preview – Can the Wizards stay within reach?
The schedule has levelled this one a little. Both teams played on Friday, so both are on the second night of a back-to-back, and the Oklahoma City Thunder are a long way short of full strength. This Oklahoma City Thunder vs Washington Wizards betting tips piece starts from that point: the Thunder are the stronger side on paper, but the gap is narrower than the market’s view of them suggests.
Tip-off is at 01:00 GMT on Sunday 8 November (8:00 pm ET on Saturday 7 November). That is the small hours for most of Europe and Africa, so sort your bets before you sleep.
The Thunder are firm favourites, and it is easy to see why. They sit on seven wins and two defeats after beating the Memphis Grizzlies in an NBA Cup game on Friday, and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been scoring at will. Ajay Mitchell had a career-high night in that win, so the supporting cast is producing too.
They have been beaten on the road this season, though, and the injury list is long: Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace, Nikola Topic and Thomas Sorber are all listed as out. Jaylin Williams missed Friday with a back problem and his status is unconfirmed.
The Wizards are four wins and five defeats, and they come off a loss in Atlanta. They lost to Atlanta twice in three days and conceded plenty both times, which is the worry on defence. Anthony Davis was questionable with an ankle sprain and sat out Friday, along with Tristan Vukcevic.
Check the official injury report before tip-off, because Davis’s status moves several of these numbers. Brian Keefe’s side did win two in a row before the Atlanta games, so they are not without punch.
Oklahoma City Thunder – Washington Wizards Betting Tips
Betting Tip: Washington Wizards (+11.5)
This is the best bet. A big spread on a team missing Holmgren, Jalen Williams and Wallace, playing its second game in two nights, asks a lot of tired legs. The Wizards cover with a win outright, or a defeat by eleven or fewer, overtime included. Garbage time (the closing minutes of a decided game) can wreck a spread, but a thin Thunder rotation has little reason to push the starters hard late if the game is settled.
Betting Tip: Over 218.5
We like the over. Both teams are on the second night of a back-to-back, and tired teams defend badly: they close out late and give up open threes. The Wizards have conceded heavily in their last two games, and the Thunder, with their best defenders absent, will not stop that. Overtime counts towards the total, and a close game at this pace could easily reach it.
Betting Tip: Washington Wizards Total points: Over 103.5
This is a team total, and it sits comfortably with the game total above. With Holmgren out, the Thunder lose their main rim protector, and the paint is where the Wizards can score. Trae Young had a productive night in Atlanta, with plenty of assists, and he should have the ball again here.
If Davis plays, the number looks even softer. The Wizards need to average only a little over two points a minute to get there.
Place the bets and check the latest NBA odds on Campeonbet before tip-off, as prices move with the injury news.
What to expect
Expect a game that is looser than the spread implies. Our look at the Wizards in Atlanta shows how open their last game was, and the Thunder arrive with a short bench. I see Oklahoma City winning, because Gilgeous-Alexander can carry a game alone, but not comfortably enough to cover this spread. The Wizards should keep it close and keep scoring.
Quick answers
When does Oklahoma City Thunder vs Washington Wizards tip off?
At 01:00 GMT on Sunday 8 November, which is 8:00 pm ET on Saturday 7 November.
Who is favoured?
The Thunder, strongly, though the back-to-back and their injury list narrow that edge.
What is our main tip?
The Washington Wizards +11.5 on the spread.
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