RB Leipzig – PSV Preview – Who is going to win?
Our RB Leipzig vs PSV betting tips start with a simple observation: neither side has won yet in this season’s Champions League, and neither has been shy about conceding. Leipzig lost 4-1 away to Como on matchday one. PSV drew 1-1 at home with Shakhtar Donetsk. Kick-off in Leipzig is on 13 October 2026 at 19:00 GMT.
Leipzig hold a narrow edge, and the reason is the mood they bring with them. Three days before this game they beat Eintracht Frankfurt 6-0 in the Bundesliga, with Nkunku scoring a first-half hat-trick and Banzuzi, Nusa and Gomis adding the rest. That was reportedly a club-record eighth straight home league win.
Earlier this season they had thrashed Hamburg 5-0 at home too. There is real firepower here, though it came in the league, and the Como defeat showed how differently they can look away from home in Europe.
PSV are less settled than their league position suggests. They beat Heerenveen 2-0 on 9 October, which kept them level on points at the top of the Eredivisie with AZ, but that win came with an own goal after a corner. Before that they lost 3-2 at Twente, and they have been without Ricardo Pepi, which pushed Sven Mijnans into the front line.
Peter Bosz teams like to attack, and that tends to mean open games. Our earlier look at PSV’s opener against Shakhtar points the same way.
Both clubs have a heavy week ahead. Leipzig travel to Bayern and then Real Madrid, PSV face ADO Den Haag and then Porto. Nobody will want to sit back and protect a point here.
RB Leipzig – PSV Betting Tips
Betting Tip: Over 3.5 goals
- RB Leipzig have seen four or more goals in four of their last five matches
- PSV have seen four or more goals in three of their last five matches
- RB Leipzig have scored 13 goals in their last five matches
Leipzig have now gone 19 UEFA club matches without a clean sheet, which is a long time to keep letting goals in. PSV score freely in the Eredivisie and Bosz will not park the bus in Saxony. If Leipzig carry any of their Frankfurt sharpness into the game, four goals is well within reach, and a PSV side chasing a first win will keep pushing even when behind.
Betting Tip: RB Leipzig -1 on the handicap
Leipzig won 6-0 and 5-0 in their last two home league games, and their home ground has been a very different place to the away trips at Como, Bremen and Leverkusen. PSV have shown cracks in defence, with Geertruida only on the bench and not fully fit in their last match. Backing the hosts to win by two or more is a bolder call than the straight win, but home form this strong justifies the extra reach.
Check the latest match odds on the sportsbook before kick-off to see where both markets stand, and place your bets there.
Quick answers before kick-off
When does it kick off? 13 October 2026 at 19:00 GMT.
Who is stronger? Leipzig, by a narrow margin, thanks to home form.
Main tip? Over 3.5 goals, with Leipzig -1 on the handicap as the bolder follow-up. Squad news is worth a look before kick-off, as reports on Leipzig’s injury list disagree.
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